Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.001424 0.001516 0.001611 0.001716 0.001830 0.001949 0.002084
2024-10-13 0.001297 0.001424 0.001560 0.001715 0.001890 0.002081 0.002304
2024-10-20 0.001183 0.001329 0.001490 0.001680 0.001900 0.002148 0.002448
2024-10-27 0.001109 0.001271 0.001453 0.001675 0.001937 0.002241 0.002620
2024-11-03 0.001019 0.001187 0.001380 0.001619 0.001908 0.002251 0.002689
2024-11-10 0.000980 0.001159 0.001368 0.001633 0.001961 0.002357 0.002876
2024-11-17 0.000931 0.001116 0.001335 0.001618 0.001974 0.002413 0.003001
2024-11-24 0.000902 0.001095 0.001328 0.001632 0.002023 0.002514 0.003186
2024-12-01 0.000856 0.001051 0.001288 0.001603 0.002015 0.002540 0.003271
2024-12-08 0.000821 0.001018 0.001261 0.001589 0.002022 0.002585 0.003383
2024-12-15 0.000790 0.000989 0.001238 0.001577 0.002033 0.002634 0.003500
2024-12-22 0.000766 0.000968 0.001224 0.001577 0.002057 0.002700 0.003644
2024-12-29 0.000735 0.000938 0.001199 0.001564 0.002069 0.002756 0.003784
2025-01-05 0.000710 0.000917 0.001185 0.001564 0.002098 0.002837 0.003965
2025-01-12 0.000676 0.000880 0.001149 0.001533 0.002082 0.002852 0.004049
2025-01-19 0.000654 0.000859 0.001132 0.001529 0.002102 0.002920 0.004215
2025-01-26 0.000617 0.000817 0.001085 0.001478 0.002054 0.002886 0.004222
2025-02-02 0.000604 0.000807 0.001082 0.001491 0.002098 0.002989 0.004445
2025-02-09 0.000584 0.000786 0.001062 0.001477 0.002101 0.003031 0.004574
2025-02-16 0.000573 0.000777 0.001061 0.001491 0.002145 0.003135 0.004810
2025-02-23 0.000550 0.000752 0.001033 0.001465 0.002129 0.003145 0.004889
2025-03-02 0.000533 0.000733 0.001015 0.001452 0.002131 0.003183 0.005017
2025-03-09 0.000518 0.000717 0.001000 0.001441 0.002137 0.003228 0.005157